Novedades sobre el Intercambio Extranjero (en Inglés)
May 1, 2015
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The U.S. dollar declined this week against most of its major peers. Even after its losses in April, the dollar is still the best-performing major developed currency over the past year, gaining 17 percent. The U.S. Dollar Spot Index, a measure of the U.S. currency against 10 major peers, rose 0.6 percent to 1,171.91. The gauge reached its lowest level since Feb. 6 on April 29 and fell for the first time in 10 months in April.
The British pound’s best month against the dollar since 2013 left analysts lining up to warn of a turnaround after next week’s general election. The first day of May showed investors are starting to agree. Sterling climbed 3.6 percent in April against the U.S. currency, the most since September 2013, even as opinion polls continued to point to no overall winner in the May 7 vote. With the prospect of protracted negotiations likely, the pound could be poised for a decline. The currency declined the most in six weeks on Friday.
The euro’s rebound against the dollar has it sizing up a key hurdle. The common currency rose for a sixth day against the dollar, its longest winning streak since 2013. Charts patterns signal the euro faces a challenge at its 100-day moving average of $1.1308 after it surpassed $1.10 Wednesday. The currency pair hasn’t traded above its 100-day moving average since May 2014. It rose as much as 1.1 percent to $1.1249 per euro Thursday before paring gains in New York.
Canada’s gross domestic product was unchanged in February, compared with economists’ forecast for a contraction, as a plunge in oil rigging and drilling was offset by gains in consumer spending. Output remained at an annualized C$1.65 trillion ($1.37 trillion), Statistics Canada said Thursday in Ottawa. The output of real estate brokers rose 3.3 percent to end five months of declines, retailing rose 1.5 percent, and support activities for mining and oil and gas extraction dropped 15.4 percent. Canada’s dollar weakened 0.4 percent to C$1.2067 per U.S. dollar at 9:54 a.m. Toronto time, following three days of gains.
A surging China saved the global economy from recession, but a slowing China may not consign it to a slump. The world’s second-largest economy will grow 6.8 percent this year en route to 6 percent in 2017, the International Monetary Fund projects. That’s half the 14 percent of 2007 and well below the 10 percent of 2010. The deceleration will certainly eat into global growth, given China now accounts for about 15 percent of worldwide gross domestic product. A slowing to 7 percent should be enough to reduce an already sub-par expansion everywhere by 0.5 percentage points.
This market update is prepared by Cathay Bank for informational purposes only and does not constitute any form of legal, tax or investment advice, nor should it be considered an assurance or guarantee of future exchange rate movements or trends. This information is provided without regard to the specific objectives, financial situation or needs of any recipient. Cathay Bank does not make any representations or warranties about the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of this market update.