February 9, 2016
Indicative Interbank spot sell rates only as of 9:00 AM PST.
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United States (US) Sales at wholesalers fell 3.1% in January, the largest drop since March 2009, after slipping 0.9% in December. Wholesale inventories increased 0.3% in January, while stocks at wholesalers in December were revised to show them unchanged. Changes in inventories are a key component in the measurement of growth in gross domestic product. The high inventory-to-sales ratio suggests wholesalers have little incentive to stock their warehouses, which could weigh on first-quarter GDP growth.
Australia’s dollar traded at 70.53 U.S. cents at 11:03 AM PST and New Zealand dollar traded at 66.36 U.S. cents. Confidence of Australia's business owners is holding up even as the ongoing turmoil on financial markets. NAB's monthly business survey shows business confidence was unchanged at a reading of 2 in January, while conditions for doing business slipped to a reading of 5, from the previous 6. New Zealand's residential property price index rose 12.6% Year on Year (YoY) in January. In December, property values rose 14.2%. Home values in the Auckland region climbed 19.8%year on year and 1.2% over the past three months.
Euro traded at 1.1298 against USD at 11:03 am PST. German industrial production unexpectedly fell for a second month in December, a sign that a slowdown in major export markets is holding back factory activity despite strong domestic demand. Output adjusted for seasonal swings and inflation, fell 1.2% from November, when it declined by a revised 0.1%.Total foreign sales fell 1.6% in December. Imports declined 1.6% from the previous month. German manufacturing output slid 1.1%, driven by a 2.6% slump in the production of investment goods. Energy production declined 3% and consumer goods output fell 1.4%.
Japanese Yen traded at 114.8 per USD at 11:03 am PST. USD/JPY makes new lows just over a week after the BoJ surprisingly cut rates, USD/JPY trades down to a low of 114.205 following the sharp correction in the Nikkei Alongside the equity weakness, 10y JGB have now joined the illustrious negative yielding club as Asian markets broadly failed to build on the US equity recovery momentum last night and credit continues to widen towards levels not seen since June 2013. Difficult to know what BoJ do from here - would they take rates more negative after this reaction to the first move. Later in the day, Japan releases PPI.
Onshore Chinese yuan traded at 6.5710 per USD at 11:03 am PST and offshore Chinese yuan traded at 6.5654 per USD. China’s foreign-exchange reserves, already at a three-year low, are poised to post a second consecutive record monthly drop as policy makers intervene to support the Yuan. Money Supply (YoY) data will be coming out later today.
This market is prepared by Cathay bank for informational purposes only and does not constitute any form of legal, tax or investment advice, nor should it be considered an assurance or guarantee of future exchange rate movements or trends. This information is provided without regard to the specific objectives, financial situations or needs of any recipient. Cathay Bank does not make any representations or warranties about the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of this market update.